Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Carrick 26th January
We head to Carrick for a Bumper ten race card to celebrate Australia Day so get the Snags and the Lamb Chops on the Barby and enjoy a great days racing.
Kingogtheklondike finds the race that will see him winning in the fifth of the day.
Kosygin Leis looks one of the better bets in race two as should control from the front.
Just Jaydo brings the right form to be winning race six.
Mickey Oh is worth a paly at $3 or better in race eight.
Major Lester in the last is an e/w play to nothing.
RACE 1: 14:54pm Tas Seed & Dressing Pace 1670m
The first of the afternoon is for the 3yo and pacers. SOKYS LINE (9) resumes but has raced in stronger company so as long as his close to his best he will take plenty of holding out. SUNSHINE SAINT (2) draws to be first to the pegs and over the sprint trip will take plenty of catching. PISTOL QUEEN (8) as won her past two but has had a stable change but that shouldn’t be a problem so is a player along with the likes of FEELINKINDALUCKY (4), SUE NIEN (7) and MIKIYOURSOFINE (10) who was a good winner last time.
TOP PICK: Sokys Line (9) looks hard to beat.
DANGERS: Sunshine Saint (2) is a danger along with Pistol Queen (8)
ROUGHIE: Mikiyoursofine (10) is the value play.
RATINGS: 9-2 4 7 8 10-1 3 6 11
SUGGESTED BET: Sokys Line 2units win – Mikiyoursofine 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 9 10-2 4 7 8 9 10-2 4 7 8 9 10 $30 flexi 75%
LIKELY LEADER: Sunshine Saint should be first to the pegs.
RACE 2: 15:34pm Hammond Seafood Pace 2150m
This is for the 50-54 pacers and KOSYGIN LEIS (1) looks to get his chance to get back into the winners list after drawing ideally so look for to look to lead throughout. SOUTHPAW SLUGGER (6) didn’t have much luck last time so if pushes forward and settles on speed can figure. ANGELSHAVETIME (3) comes across from Victoria where has been around the mark so keep safe. MAGIC PEBBLES (2), ENSTEIN (4), GRINNING AGAIN (7), DEBT TILL WE PART (9) and CINOCAL JAMANE (10) are all capable of running into some of the minor money.
TOP PICK: Kosygin Leis (1) looks the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Southpaw Slugger (6) looks a danger along with Angelshavetime (3).
ROUGHIE: Debt Till We Part (9) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 1-2 3 4 6 7 9 10 11-5
SUGGESTED BET: Kosygin Leis 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 3 4 6 7 9 10 11-2 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 $28 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Kosygin Leis should be able hold them out.
RACE 3: 16:07pm Westwood Quarry Trainer Series Heat One 2150m
This is for the 4yo older where the impressive SMOKESCREEN (4) looks well placed and can make his own luck so is the one to beat. HAY MIKI (3) has plenty of ability but scan till do things wrong but at his best behavior can win. TRIPLE VINIIES (6) comes across from Victoria and does have ability so watch for a positive market push as a better guide to his chances. SABINE (2) hasn’t lived up to her early promise but will be pay to keep safe on resumption. NORBET (5) and TOP HANOVER (7) are a couple to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Smokescreen (4) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Hay Miki (3) looks a danger along with Triple Vinnies (6).
ROUGHIE: Sabine (2) is next best.
RATINGS: 4-2 3 6-1 5 7-8
SUGGESTED BET: Smokescreen 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-2 3 6-2 3 5 6 7 $24 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Smokescreen will be looking to work to the lead.
RACE 4: 16:34pm Launceston Bobcat Hire Stakes 1670m
This is for the up to 49 rated pacers where the handy MANINKY MOONSHINE (3) is looking to make it four wins out of her last five so from the draw looks the hardest to beat. DIAMONDSNBLUE (5) has built a picket fence of her own in easier races but does look up to winner better races so is a player. SERIOUSLY SAM (1) is getting close to a win and has the soft draw so include along with the likes of FLO JO CARVALHO (2), JACK JAMES (7), SWEET AMOUR (8) and AURORA REASON (11) for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Maninky Moonshine (3) just leaning her way.
DANGERS: Diamondsnblue (5) looks the danger along with Seriously Sam (1).
ROUGHIE: Jack James (7) sneaky chance at odds.
RATINGS: 3-1 2 5 7 8 11-6 9 10
SUGGESTED BET: Maninky Moonshine 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 3-1 2 5-1 2 5 7 8 11 $15 flexi 100% - 3-1 2 5 7 8 11-1 2 5 $15 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Flo Jo Carvalho and Seriously Sam will battle for the early lead.
RACE 5: 17:09pm Ladbroke Racing Club Pace 1670m
This is for the 3yo and older pacers and the polemarker KINGOFTHEKLONDIKE (1) looks ideally placed breakthrough. He has raced in some handy maidens of late so this is his race to lose. MILLYCENT (5) has been thereabouts and should settle close enough to do so again. SHADES OF SILK (7) will be huge odds and has the draw to sneak into a minor placing along with the likes of KOSTYUK LEIS (3), PARTY BLAZE (8) and BROADWAY BLING (11) who are capable. RESURGENT HUNGER (2) could be first to the pegs so can hold on for a place at odds.
TOP PICK: Kingoftheklondike (1) this looks his race.
DANGERS: Millycent (5) is a danger along with Party Blaze (8).
ROUGHIE: Shades Of Silk (7) can place at odds.
RATINGS: 1-3 5 7 8 11-2 6 10
SUGGESTED BET: Kingoftheklondike 6units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 3 5 7 8 11-2 3 5 7 8 11 $30 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Kingoftheklondike will be looking to hold up but will be tested by Resurgent Hunger.
RACE 6: 17:40pm Westwood Quarry Trainer Series Heat Two 2150m
Here we have a race for the 4yo and older pacers and the Charlie Castles trained JUST JAYDO (5) looks the hardest to beat. He is versatile so will look to control it from upfront. NEON (8) is a pacer with ability first up for Adam Rattray who draws to get a good run through early so keep safe. ROCK THE TABLEAU (9) will be looking for a cart into the race and if close enough has the speed to go close. MISS COLLANN (7) is racing well so if the breaks come her from the draw can figure. PETALI BEACH (2) and PEANUT SUTTER (6) can sneak into a minor first four placing at odds.
TOP PICK: Just Jaydo (5) is the one they have to beat.
DANGERS: Neon (8) is the danger along with Miss Collann (7).
ROUGHIE: Rock the Tableau (9) is the best value play.
RATINGS: 5-7 8 9-2 6-1 3-4
SUGGESTED BET: Just Jaydo 4units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 5-7 8 9-2 6 7 8 9 $30 flexi 250%
LIKELY LEADER: Petali Beach and Just Jaydo will look to push forward.
RACE 7: 18:12pm Ladbrokes Blackbook Pace 2150m
This is for the 64-74 rated pacers and it looks an interesting race to access. HAZEWILLREV (11) resumed with a solid effort but getting back to mobile conditions and a slick trial win on Monday night will see him hard to hold out despite the draw. LETSGOBRO (3) loves to lead and will look to cross early and if does his chances are enhanced. ANOTHER NIEN (5) was ok at first local run so if can slot in and have the last can figure. ROYAL APPOINTMENT (6) is capable if figuring but the draw so will need a bit of luck. CAN FEEL THE FURY (1), NATIONAL NEWS (2), JO AN JO (8) and COLBY SANZ (9) are a quartet to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Hazewillrev (11) is the horse with the most upside so going his way.
DANGERS: Letsgobro (3) is a danger along with Another Nien (5).
ROUGHIE: Jo An Jo (8) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 11-3 5 6 8-1 2 4 7 9
SUGGESTED BET: Hazewillrev 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 11-3 5 6 8-1 2 3 5 6 8 9 $30 flexi 125%
LIKELY LEADER: Letsgobro will be looking to get across early.
RACE 8: 18:47pm Halwes Free For All 1670m
This is the feature the Halwes FFA and it brings together a good field over the sprint trip. MICKEY OH (8) has been good at both runs from a break and has drawn to get a good run through early so as long as doesn’t get planted three deep he is the one to beat. BLITZERN (10) showed a return to form last time so with a cart into the race will be dangerous. MAGNETIC TERROR (1) comes up with the pole and should have the speed to hold them early so has a chance with the same being said for ALBY TWO CHAINS (2) who will be in the action all the way. MISS PAPENHUYZEN (3), GORDONS BAY (5) and KEAYANG FITZY (7) are a trio that are capable if the breaks come their way at the right times.
TOP PICK: Mickey Oh (8) going his way.
DANGERS: Blitzern (10) looks a danger along with Alby Two Chains (2).
ROUGHIE: Magnetic Terror (1) is a chance from the pole.
RATINGS: 8-1 2 3 5 7 10-4 9 11
SUGGESTED BET: Mickey Oh 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 8-1 2 3 5 7 10-1 2 3 5 7 10 $30 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Magnetic Terror will look to hold them early with Alby Two Chains have a good look.
RACE 9: 19:22pm Bendigo Bank Deloraine & Districts Pace 2150m
This is for the 4yo and older pacers and it brings a handy field together. IDEN LADY LINCOLN (11) is a tough mare and will have to be to overcome the back row draw but if she gets up on speed easier enough is the one to beat. HAMMER DAN (9) races best when his up front so will be looking to push through early and can figure. WATCH IT HAPPEN (6) and MR BONDI (7) are both racing well but have tricky draws to overcome but will be in the finish if it comes their way. TWILIGHT BONNIE (1) and WEONA EAGLE (2) both get the draws to advantage so if they get a good first half of the race will be thereabouts.
TOP PICK: Iden Lady Lincoln (11) happy to lean her way.
DANGERS: Mr Bondi (7) is a danger along with Hammer Dan (9).
ROUGHIE: Twilight Bonnie (1) looks the value.
RATINGS: 11-1 2 6 7 9-4 5 8-10
SUGGESTED BET: Iden Lady Lincoln 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 11-1 2 6 7 9-1 2 6 7 9 $30 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Weona Eagle will have a look at crossing Twilight Bonnie
RACE 10: 19:55pm Happy Birthday Pat Kearon Pace 2150m
The last of the evening is for the 55-63 rated pacers. MAJOR LESTER (9) continues to race well and has drawn to get a good run through early and that will see him in the finish. CHEETAH LODGE (5) has been racing well and has showed versatility so will be put into the race and can win. OCTAGONISE (11) has a tough draw to overcome but with right trip has the ability to round up his rivals. BOLD CENTURIAN (4) comes back from the Country Cup circuit so if can settle close looks the value runner of the race. HURRICANE ROCK (1), BELIEVE IN FOREVER (7) and NOVA BAXTER (10) are a trio to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Major Lester (9) looks an e/w play of the day.
DANGERS: Cheetah Lodge (5) is the danger along with Bold Centurian (4).
ROUGHIE: Nova Baxter (10) wouldn’t shock at odds.
RATINGS: 9-4 5 11-1 7 10-2 3 6
SUGGESTED BET: Major Lester 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 9-4 5 11-1 3 4 5 7 10 11 $24 flexi 133% - 9-1 3 4 5 7 10 11-4 5 11 $18 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER:Bold Centurian will be pushing forward with Donny in Paris
