Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Hobart 22nd November
We head to Hobart on Friday night for a handy six race card so let’s have a look at finding a few winners.
Magic Pebbles can make her own luck and get the job done in race three.
Major Lester looks to get his chance in race five in what looks a good small multi.
The value play come sup in the last being Mach Angelo as looks to get his chance to get over the top of his rivals last at around $10.
RACE 1: 17:38pm Ladbroke Racing Club Pace 1609m
The first of the night is for the 2yo maiden pacers. SMILING MIA (6) was backed into silly odds last week so from a tough draw will be looking to bounce back and driven cold she looks to have the speed to round them up. UNMATCHED (3) is the query resuming as has been close up in good races so look for a positive market push as to his fitness. IDEN REGAL WAVE (4) has had no luck at all of late being trapped wide and doing all the work. He gets a draw to push forward and can improve. OHANA BY THE SEA (2), HES FIRST CLASS (5) and BOLT OF COBARGO (7) are a trio to include as wouldn’t shock of they won.
TOP PICK: Smiling Mia (6) will be hoping to bounce back.
DANGERS: Unmatched (3) looks a danger along with Ohana by The Sea (2).
ROUGHIE: Iden Regal Wave (4) is the value play.
RATINGS: 6-2 3 4 -1 5 7
SUGGESTED BET: Smiling Mia 2units win- Iden Regal Wave 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 6-field-field $30 flexi 100%- 4-field-field $15 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Ohana by the Sea and Iden Regal Wave will be looking to push forward.
RACE 2: 18:07pm Tasmanian Horse Transport Pace 2090m
This is for the 40-44 rated pacers and is a race of numerous chances. QUEENOFDANCE (6) is racing well and looks well placed to win again despite the tricky draw so will take holding out. SUE NIEN (1) draws to advantage and looks well placed as will get every chance. CARUSO STAR (3) comes across from Victoria where has been thereabouts of late so will pay to watch the market. OUR ARABELLA (2), SOULWRITER (5), DEADLY ASSASSIN (7) and KIAVINO STRIDE (8) are a quartet that are more than capable if figuring if the breaks comes their way.
TOP PICK: Queenofdance (6) looks the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Sue Nien (1) is the danger along with Our Arabella
ROUGHIE: Deadly Assasin (7) will be huge odds and wouldn’t shock.
RATINGS: 1 6-2 3 5 7 8-4
SUGGESTED BET: Sue Nien and Queenofdance 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2 6-2 6-field $15 flexi 150% - 2 6-field-2 6 $15 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Caruso Star and Botany Bay Warrior will be looking to push forward early.
RACE 3: 18:42pm Prydes Easifeed Pace 1609m
This is for the 45-49 rated pacers and its an even lot over the sprint trip. MAGIC PEBBLES (2) is nearing a win and looks well placed as will be on speed throughout and is the one to beat. FLO JO CARVALHO (4) will have a crack at crossing early as if she did her chances are enhanced s keep safe. MISS COLLANN (3) has been out of form of late but can bounce back in this from the draw so don’t dismiss. LALIBELA (1), OUR RUBY ROSE (5), SCRUB BASHER (6) are a trio to include for the wider exotic players.
TOP PICK: Magic Pebbles (2) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Flo Jo Carvalho (4) is the danger along with Miss Collann (3).
ROUGHIE: Our Ruby Rose (5) looks the improver at value.
RATINGS: 2-3 4 5-1 6-7 8 9
SUGGESTED BET: Magic Pebbles 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2-3 4-field $21 flexi 150%- 2-field-3 4 $21 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Magic Pebbles will be looking for the lead with Miss Collann and Flo Jo Carvalho also having a look.
RACE 4: 19:07pm Fehlbergs Produce Sprintlane Pace 2090m
This is for the up to 39 rated pacers and the consistent STRAWBERRY BLING (2) had drawn to get her chance to get back into the winners list as will settle on speed. KENS CHIPS (5) has his hoof on the till and should settle in the first half of the field so look for him to be in the finish. LOU LOUS ALLGOLD (3) got back to winning form last time so can go on with it from the soft draw. BRIAN WHO (8), MACHS MARETA (9) and ONEOFTHELADS (10) are all capable of on their night so if bring something close to their best can make their presence felt.
TOP PICK: Strawberry Bling (2) happy to have a small play.
DANGERS: Kens Chips (5) is the danger along with Lou Lous Allgold (3).
ROUGHIE: Brian Who (8) looks the best at odds.
RATINGS: 2-3 5 8-9 10-1 4 6 7 11 12
SUGGESTED BET: Strawberry Bling 2units win- Brian Who 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 2 3 5 8 9 10 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Strawberry Bling and Lou Lous Allgold will be looking to push forward.
RACE 5: 19:37pm Matts Last Trot as a Single Stallion Pace 2090m
Here we have a 55-59 rated affair and this looks the race for MAJOR LESTER (6). He draws wide but with average luck he should be in the winner’s circle with the main danger being HES APPLES (2) who draws to on speed throughout and looks ready to be a major player. SHARMEY (1) loves to lead and will get that here so if pinches a good first half he will be giving a good kick late. YAPPAS COURAGE (3), TWO SOCK CREEK (4), GOBSMACKED (8) and DEBT TILL WE PART (9) are a quartet to include for the minor exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Major Lester (6) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Hes Apples (2) is the danger along with Sharmey (1).
ROUGHIE: Gobsmacked (8) looks the value play from the soft draw.
RATINGS: 6-1 2 8-3 4 5 7 9 10
SUGGESTED BET: Major Lester 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 6-1 2 8-field $30 flexi 125%- 6-field-1 2 8 $24 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Sharmey will hold them out early.
RACE 6: 20:07pm Cavalor Equicare Pace 2090m
The last is for the 50-54 rated pacers and looks a handy race. MACH ANGELO (10) has his foot on the till and maps to get every chance so looks a great e/w bet. REMEMBER ME NOW (9) will push through early and he doesn’t have to lead so will be in the finish. ALL ABOUT IVY (1) was a good winner last week but was better is giving young Ethan Arnott his first as a driver. She draws the pole so will get her chance to make it three in a row. HURRICANE ROCK (4), SNEAKY PEAK (5) and SPACEWRITER (6) are all racing well and have to be included in what is a tough race to finish the night.
TOP PICK: Mach Angelo (10) looks a good gamble 1 by 2.
DANGERS: Remember Me Now (9) is the danger along with Hurricane Rock (4)
ROUGHIE: Spacewriter (6) looks the best at odds.
RATINGS: 10-1 4 5 6 9-2 7 8-3
SUGGESTED BET: Mach Angelo 2units e/w
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 4 5 6 9 10 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Sneaky Peak will be looking to push forward with Beast Mode always so a hope of running the gate
