Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt

 

Launceston 3rd November

We head up to Launceston on Sunday night for a tough seven event card so there will be value if we can find a few winners.

Im happy to play Jilliby Mendoza in the first of the night.

Impulze is racing well and is a great bet on a one by two basis in race three.

Miki Sanz in race five looks a good e/w play.

Laid Back should send us home on a winning note.

RACE 1: 18:18pm Ladbrokes Easy Form Pace 2200m

The first of the night is for the 3yo and older pacers and it’s a handy race. JILLIBY MENDOZA (4) was a strong winner last time and can go on with it here as always gives his best. OUT OF EDEN (2) was good at first local run when racing away so despite this being slightly stronger has the draw to figure. KOSYGIN LEIS (3) will find this more to his liking as can settle on speed so gets his chance. HAY MIKI (1) and IDEN LADY LINCOLN (6) were both good last week so have to be included for the wider exotic players.

TOP PICK: Jilliby Mendoza (4) happy to stick with him.

DANGERS: Out of Eden (2) is the danger along with Kosygin Leis (3).

ROUGHIE: Iden Lady Lincoln (6) is the value play.

RATINGS: 4-1 2 3 6-5

SUGGESTED BET: Jilliby Mendoza 2units win

EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-1 2 3 6-1 2 3 6 $18 flexi 150%

LIKELY LEADER: Kosygin Leis and Jilliby Mendoza will look to push forward early.

RACE 2: 18:52pm Stacey Lear Photography Pace 2200m

This is for the 4yo and older pacers. TELL THE BARTMAN (4) was very impressive last time coming from midfield and racing away so despite this being slightly stronger he has a great winning chance. KEAYANG KEVIN (7) is working up to a win so if gets a bit of luck early from the draw will take plenty of holding out. CEE TEE CHELSEA (8) will appreciate the bigger track so is open to improved effort. DONE WELL (9) and SCRUB BASHER (11) are a couple that have been thereabouts of late so have to included for the wider exotic placings along with HELLO SWEETHEART (1) and STRAWBERRY BLING (3) from their soft draw.

TOP PICK: Tell the Bartman (4) is the one they have to beat.

DANGERS: Keayang Kevin (7) is the danger along with Cee Tee Chelsea (8).

ROUGHIE: Strawberry Bling (3) can run a place.

RATINGS: 4-7 8-3 9 11-1 2 12-5 6 10

SUGGESTED BET: Tell the Bartman 2units win

EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-1 3 7 8 9 11-1 3 7 8 9 11 $30 flexi 100%

LIKELY LEADER: Hello Sweetheart will look to take advantage of her draw

RACE 3: 19:20pm Tassie Golden Apple 1st December Pace 2200m

Here we have a 53-57 where GYPSY AMOUR (1) draws to get every chance to get back into the winners list as has the draw to settle on speed. ONEHANDONEBOUNCE (8) will follow her everywhere she goes so if the gap comes will finish strongly. JUMPING JOLT (3) was impressive last time and could go on with it here from his draw. IMPULZE (9) and MAGOMEDOV (10) are a couple that push through early and settle close enough to make their presence felt. GOTTAHAVEAHOBBIE (4), MUCHO MOVER (6) and IDEN BLACK PRINCE (11) are a trio capable of figuring if the breaks come their way.

TOP PICK: Impulze (9) looks a good e/e gamble.

DANGERS: Jumping Jolt (3) looks a danger along with Gypsy Amour (1).

ROUGHIE: Iden Black Prince (11) is a chance at odds with the right trip.

RATINGS: 9-1 3 8 10-4 6 11-5 7 12 13

SUGGESTED BET: Impulze 2units e/w

EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 3 8 9 10 11 $40 flexi 33.3%

LIKELY LEADER: Gypsy Amour will look to hold Gottahaveahobbie early.

RACE 4: 19:55pm Book Your Christmas Function with Us 1st December Pace 2200m

This is for the 58-62 pacers and it’s a tough one. MODERN POWER (2) has the draw to push forward and if finds the top will give them plenty to chase. MAYOR OF ELWOOD (4) has had every chance of late but will find this easier so can go one better. KARALTA ARTEMIS (3) is the query as his been out of form but gets back to the front line and he does have early speed so if can back to something like his best he comes into calculations. MAJOR LESTER (5) will be hoping to slot in and have the last crack at them and can win if close enough. THE IRON LADY (1) was solid at first local run and draws ideally so will improve again and be in the finish.

TOP PICK: Mayor of Elwood (4) just lean his way in a tough one.

DANGERS: Modern Power (2) looks the danger along with The Iron Lady (1).

ROUGHIE: Karalta Artemis (3) looks the value play.

RATINGS: 4-1 2 3 5-6 8 10 11 12-7 9

SUGGESTED BET: Mayor of Elwood 2units win- Karalta Artemis 1unit win

EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 2 3 4 5 $30 flexi 50%

LIKELY LEADER: Modern Power and Karalta Artemis will be pushing forward.

RACE 5: 20:30pm Find us on Facebook Stakes 2200m

Here we have a 45-49 rated affair and impressive last start winner IDEN KAMAKAZI (1) looks well placed off the pole as can just about hold up and if he does his chances are enhanced. MIKI SANZ (3) had no luck last time when trapped wide so from the draw here he should on speed and from there will keep battling away so ca win. FLO JO CARVALHO (2) is consistent and will be around the mark again so have to include along with I WANT IT ALL (4), SAPPHIRE GAMBLER (8), OUR RUBY ROSE (9) and LALIBELA (10) who are all capable if the breaks come their way in running.

TOP PICK: Miki Sanz (3) just lean his way at the better odds.

DANGERS: Iden Kamakazi (1) is the danger along with Our Ruby Rose (9).

ROUGHIE: Sapphire Gambler (8) has claims at odds.

RATINGS: 3-1-2 4 8 9 10-5 6 7 11 12

SUGGESTED BET: Miki Sanz 2units win

EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1 3-1 3-2 4 8 9 10 $20 flexi 200% - 1 3-2 4 8 9 10-1 3 $20 flexi 200%

LIKELY LEADER: Iden Kamakazi will be loking to hold them out early.

RACE 6: 21:07pm Ladbrokes Bet Ticker Stakes 2200m

This is an up to 44 rated pacers and its another tough one. KENS CHIPS (5) has been ok at both runs back so if can slot in early will gets his chance to get into the finish at good odds. ITS SUPER EASY (7) is always around the mark in these races but has a tricky draw to overcome but can figure. TASHS MATE (4) and MY ULTIMATE JACKO (10) both been close up of late and have a bit of speed when saved for one run at them so keep safe. ARTS CLASSIC (2), LOU LOUS ALLGOLD (3), CHRIS BE QUICK (8) and ONEOFTHELADS (12) are a quartet that are capable of running into some of the minor money.

TOP PICK: Kens Chips (5) happy to go his way e/w.

DANGERS: Its Super Easy (7) looks a danger along with My Ultimate Jacko (10).

ROUGHIE: Lou Lous Allgold (3) can improve at odds.

RATINGS: 5-4 7 8 10-2 3 9 11 12-1 6

SUGGESTED BET: Kens Chips and My Ultimate Jacko 1unit win

EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 3 4 5 7 8 10 $40 flexi 33.3%

LIKELY LEADER: Our Arabella and Arts Classic will look to make use of there good draws.

RACE 7: 21:39pm Faithful Park Stud Pace 1680m

The last of the night is for the 50-52 rated pacers over the sprint trip. LAID BACK (1) draws ideally and should make use of it early so looks very hard to beat. MOVESLIKEALADY (8) is a frustrating horse but she has the ability to take this out if brings her best manners so is the huge query. REMEMBER ME NOW (6) will be looking to ping across early as that will enhance his winning chances so include along with RANIERI (7) who is looking for a hat-trick of wins. SPACEWRITER (2) and KIAVINO STRIDE (5) are a couple at odds to include for the wider exotic placings.

TOP PICK: Laid Back (1) looks the hardest to beat.

DANGERS: Moveslikealady (8) is a danger along with Remember Me Now (6).

ROUGHIE: Spacewriter (2) looks the value.

RATINGS: 1-6 7 8-2 5-3 6

SUGGESTED BET: Laid Back 2units win

EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 8-2 5 6 7 8 $16 flexi 200% - 1-2 5 6 7 8-2 8 $12 flexi 150%

LIKELY LEADER: Remember Me Now will look to ping across Laid Back early.