Form Analysis by Luke Humphreys
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: MAGGIE MOTH (6) has been a narrow and game second in her last two runs which have been her two runs at this venue, and they have also been her two starts for Alex Ashwood. She draws the widest but is the one to beat and gets another chance to score. Stablemate LADY LAZARO (7) is a three-year-old filly by Lazarus on debut and is interesting. ANGELS WATCHING (5) rates next over TO THE NINES (1) and THEBUCKSONYOU (2).
EARLY SPEED: 1? 3, 5 (Leader?)
SELECTIONS: MAGGIE MOTH (6), LADY LAZARO (7), ANGELS WATCHING (5), TO THE NINES (1)
RATINGS: 6 / 7 / 5 / 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 8
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi First 4 6 / 5, 7 / 5, 7 / 1, 2 ($8 gets 100%)
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: STEAL SOME TIME (4) was well fancied last week in a race at this level and was only run down late. She is a good chance of going one better. AUCKLAND LASS (8) has shown up and down form of late, but her best would win this so whilst she is inconsistent and hard to catch, she can’t be dismissed. OUTA CONTROL (7) is never far away and again will be around the mark. ABOVE AVERAGE (3) rates next.
EARLY SPEED: 1, 2 (Leader?), 3, 4? 5? 6
SELECTIONS: STEAL SOME TIME (4), AUCKLAND LASS (8), OUTA CONTROL (7), ABOVE AVERAGE (3)
RATINGS: 4 / 8 / 7 / 3 / 5 / 1 / 6 / 2
SUGGESTED BET: STEAL SOME TIME (4) Each-Way
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: MAGIC MATTY (9) is still learning but he has shown to have good ability and was an eye-catching second last week behind Carly Perez, so he is a great chance of going one better. THE AFRICAN QUEEN (8) has a bit over three metres to find with MAGIC MATTY (9) from last week and she has been around the mark in each of her five runs to date. KEEP BETTING (3) is next best over OUR BIG DRAMAQUEEN (5).
EARLY SPEED: 3 (Leader), 4? 5? 6
SELECTIONS: MAGIC MATTY (9), THE AFRICAN QUEEN (8), KEEP BETTING (3), OUR BIG DRAMAQUEEN (5)
RATINGS: 9 / 8 / 3 / 5 / 6 / 10 / 7 / 2 / 4 / 1
SUGGESTED BET: Flexi Trifecta 8, 9 / 8, 9 / 3 ($4 gets 100%)
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: DARK SANDS (7) has drawn to gain an economical run and whilst his two victories to date have been from the front at least he will be against the peg line. COTTON CANDY MAN (6) has the widest barrier to overcome but was close-up last week after sitting parked. GLITZY ALL OVER (8) was one place ahead of COTTON CANDY MAN (6) last week and her best is more than good enough. NIGHT SAFARI (3) went close last start.
EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader?), 2, 3, 4, 5?
SELECTIONS: DARK SANDS (7), COTTON CANDY MAN (6), GLITZY ALL OVER (8), NIGHT SAFARI (3)
RATINGS: 7 / 6 / 8 / 3 / 5 / 9 / 2 / 1 / 4
SUGGESTED BET: DARK SANDS (7) Each-Way
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: KEAYANG CRIPPA (9) has given his rivals a start at his last two runs, but he has hit the line well on each occasion and if he is close enough, he can nearly win at good each-way odds. COURTNEY KATARINA (7) maps to get a nice run and has been just behind the placegetters of late. GUYS BETTOR BET (5) looked to be a unlucky loser last week whilst RONZEL MICKY (8) rates next best in an open race.
EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader?), 2, 3, 6
SELECTIONS: KEAYANG CRIPPA (9), COURTNEY KATARINA (7), GUYS BETTOR BET (5), RONZEL MICKY (8)
RATINGS: 9 / 7 / 5 / 8 / 1 / 2 / 6 / 3 / 4
SUGGESTED BET: KEAYANG CRIPPA (9) Each-Way
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: HESASTAR (2) continues to race very consistently and should go very close once more. This is a grade drop on his last three runs. SPRING DELIGHT (9), SUNSHINE WARRIOR (5) and RONZEL SONNY (1) all rate highly as does recent trial winner DEEWHY (6) and former Queenslander CALF PEN (7) who is first-up for Andrew Vozlic. SIR VINCENT (4) has been placed in each of his last four and rates next in the most competitive race of the day.
EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader?), 3? 4, 5, 6
SELECTIONS: HESASTAR (2), SPRING DELIGHT (9), SUNSHINE WARRIOR (5), RONZEL SONNY (1)
RATINGS: 2 / 9 / 5 / 1 / 6 / 7 / 4 / 8 / 3
SUGGESTED BET: HESASTAR (2) Each-Way
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: AMYS BABY ANGEL (7) maps to enjoy a lovely run and is in good form with a win three back prior to a pair of close-up fourth places including at this level most recently. DAYLIGHT (2) and ROSTOVA (1) come out of the same race last week and it will be interesting to see whether the form is reversed or not. The former is consistent whilst the latter has been hard to catch. SPORTING RAGE (10) rates next best
EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader), 2, 3
SELECTIONS: AMYS BABY ANGEL (7), DAYLIGHT (2), ROSTOVA (1), SPORTING RAGE (10)
RATINGS: 7 / 2 / 1 / 10 / 3 / 11 / 8 / 5 / 9 / 4
SUGGESTED BET: AMYS BABY ANGEL (7) Each-Way
Race 8:
OVERVIEW: TOUGH AINT ENOUGH (8) is a smart type that is yet to produce a poor performance and has resumed with a narrow victory and a narrow second. He will be in the finish once more and you can expect a good run for your money from this promising type. CARLY PEREZ (1) was able to lead when breaking her maiden status last week and draws to lead once again. DANNY RAY (5) and LINCS POOR BOY (2) rate next.
EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader), 2? 4?
SELECTIONS: TOUGH AINT ENOUGH (8), CARLY PEREZ (1), DANNY RAY (5), LINCS POOR BOY (2)
RATINGS: 8 / 1 / 5 / 2 / 11 / 10 / 4 / 9 / 7 / 6
SUGGESTED BET: TOUGH AINT ENOUGH (8) Each-Way
Race 9:
OVERVIEW: RIMU VALLEY (5) continues to race very well without luck and just needs a bit of luck to go very close to winning. LETSGO BIG GIRL (9) has been impressive in two runs for Aaron Coad with a second to Shes Poppy before turning the tables on that in-form mare last week. STARVIN MARVIN (8) was helped by a genuine tempo throughout last week but had been building up to that victory. ONLY ONCE BITTEN (1) is the next best.
EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader?), 2? 3? 4, 5, 6
SELECTIONS: RIMU VALLEY (5), LETSGO BIG GIRL (9), STARVIN MARVIN (8), ONLY ONCE BITTEN (1)
RATINGS: 5 / 9 / 8 / 1 / 4 / 7 / 6 / 3 / 2 / 10
SUGGESTED BET: STARVIN MARVIN (8) Each-Way
Race 10:
OVERVIEW: ALL DA RAGE (10) was a narrow second at his last run at this venue and either side of that run he has travelled to Ararat and Bendigo and performed very admirably in defeat. Prior to those three runs he was fifth in both the South Australian and Swan Hill Cups. IMPERIALS REASON (9) looks to be close to a win and is getting closer and ran Ideal Escape to a neck recently. POWERSOFPERSUASION (6) is flying and CEMETERY BAY (7) rates next.
EARLY SPEED: 1, 2 (Leader?), 3, 5, 6
SELECTIONS: ALL DA RAGE (10), IMPERIALS REASON (9), POWERSOFPERSUASION (6), CEMETERY BAY (7)
RATINGS: 10 / 9 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 5 / 11 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 1
SUGGESTED BET: IMPERIALS REASON (9) Each-Way
