Mildura, Friday 8 November

Form Analysis by Luke Humphreys

Race 1:

 

OVERVIEW: ANGELS WATCHING (2) is the first of a few interesting runners for Russell Jack and Zac Phillips and hasn’t had the best of luck to date so from the good draw he should be able to go close to breaking through. FLOJOS BEST (5) is out of Flojos Gold and is unbeaten from three at the trials. DANNY RAY (10) and MASON DIXON LINE (1) rate next best.

 

EARLY SPEED: 2, 3, 4 (Early Leader)

SELECTIONS: ANGELS WATCHING (2), FLOJOS BEST (5), DANNY RAY (10), MASON DIXON LINE (1)

RATINGS: 2 / 5 / 10 / 1 / 4 / 9 / 7 / 6 / 3 / 8

SUGGESTED BET: Flexi First 4 2, 5 / 2, 5 / 1, 10 / 1, 10 ($16 gets 100%)

 

Race 2:

 

OVERVIEW: CARLY PEREZ (4) is a nicely bred three-year-old filly that is first-up in the Sunraysia and if able to use her speed to find the top looks hard to beat on her placings behind The Steel Dragon and Blackindeed two and three runs back. UBETONRED (3) continues to knock on the door and should go very close once more. NANNA HELEN (10) and MAGIC MATTY (9) rate next.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 3, 4 (Leader), 5, 6?

SELECTIONS: CARLY PEREZ (4), UBETONRED (3), NANNA HELEN (10), MAGIC MATTY (9)

RATINGS: 4 / 3 / 10 / 9 / 11 / 8 / 1 / 5 / 2 / 6 / 7

SUGGESTED BET: CARLY PEREZ (4) to Win

 

Race 3:

 

OVERVIEW: CHOGI (6) has the widest barrier to overcome but her last run at this venue was her last win and it was over the distance and at this level. MEMPHIS BLASTER (8) is the intriguing runner first-up for Luke Watson from New Zealand and it will be interesting to see how he handles this track compared to Addington. AMERICAN BOXER (5) and IM ALRIGHT JACK (1) rate next.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 3, 5 (Leader?), 6

SELECTIONS: CHOGI (6), MEMPHIS BLASTER (8), AMERICAN BOXER (5), IM ALRIGHT JACK (1)

RATINGS: 6 / 8 / 5 / 1 / 9 / 3 / 7 / 4 / 2

SUGGESTED BET: CHOGI (6) Each-Way

 

Race 4:

 

OVERVIEW: LA CAVALLETTA (7) is an interesting runner in this event taking on his elders and did suffer a hat-trick of odds-on defeats prior to a second last start but he can’t be taken lightly. OUR MASTER PLAY (6) should have won last week at Swan Hill and must have a big chance. AVOCA BLUES (5), AMYS BABY ANGEL (4) and OZZIE DAYBREAK (9) are the other main players.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 3, 4 (Leader?), 5, 6

SELECTIONS: LA CAVALLETTA (7), OUR MASTER PLAY (6), AVOCA BLUES (5), AMYS BABY ANGEL (4)

RATINGS: 7 / 6 / 5 / 4 / 9 / 3 / 8 / 2 / 1

SUGGESTED BET: OUR MASTER PLAY (6) Each-Way

 

Race 5:

 

OVERVIEW: SHES POPPY (9) was well driven by Wayne Hill to win last time making it three successive victories at this track. She now drops back to the second row so it will be interesting to see how she goes but she is going well enough. SHIREEN (10) is a class runner whilst DAYLIGHT (7) has been second in her last two runs. GLITZY ALL OVER (5) rates next.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2, 6 (Eventual Leader?)

SELECTIONS: SHES POPPY (9), SHIREEN (10), DAYLIGHT (7), GLITZY ALL OVER (5)

RATINGS: 9 / 10 / 7 / 5 / 11 / 8 / 3 / 6 / 4 / 2 / 1

SUGGESTED BET: Boxed First 4 5, 7, 9, 10

 

Race 6:

 

OVERVIEW: ROSTOVA (6) is having her third run for the stable but her first run at this track following a Gawler third and an all the way win on South Australian Cup Night at Globe Derby. She looks the one to beat but don’t dismiss the consistent YOU LITTLE TERROR (8) who will run his usual honest race. ALLSOPP (10) and KUHIO CREST (9) have good chances as well.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2 (Leader), 4, 5, 6

SELECTIONS: ROSTOVA (6), YOU LITTLE TERROR (8), ALLSOPP (10), KUHIO CREST (9)

RATINGS: 6 / 8 / 10 / 9 / 5 / 11 / 3 / 2 / 1 / 4 / 7

SUGGESTED BET: YOU LITTLE TERROR (8) Each-Way

 

Race 7:

 

OVERVIEW: DALLAS MIKI (7) was probably a lucky winner at Swan Hill last week but just the same he made all the running, so he deserved it. He maps to get a nice run again in this so he can make it two in a row. LOSEASHOE (1) is interesting from gate one as he is a great leader. BEEJAYS STAR (5) and FENG SHUI STAR (6) rate next.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader?), 3, 4, 5

SELECTIONS: DALLAS MIKI (7), LOSEASHOE (1), BEEJAYS STAR (5), FENG SHUI STAR (6)

RATINGS: 7 / 1 / 5 / 6 / 10 / 9 / 8 / 3 / 4 / 2

SUGGESTED BET: Quinella 1 & 7

 

Race 8:

 

OVERVIEW: MAXY WANTS TO PLAY (7) was an impressive course, distance and grade winner six runs ago and hasn’t been disgraced subsequently. It will be interesting to see where he lands from the draw, but he must be given a big chance drawn on the pegs. As must GO AWAY AGAIN (1) on the strength of her August victory. WENDYS WISH (9) and MY ULTIMATE LEVI (8) rate next.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1 (Leader?), 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

SELECTIONS: MAXY WANTS TO PLAY (7), GO AWAY AGAIN (1), WENDYS WISH (9), MY ULTIMATE LEVI (8)

RATINGS: 7 / 1 / 9 / 8 / 10 / 4 / 3 / 5 / 6 / 2

SUGGESTED BET: Quinella 1 & 7

 

Race 9:

 

OVERVIEW: IDYLLIC (8) was able to win the Kapunda Cup when first-up for over 18 months before never being able to work into the South Australian Cup last start. On his Sunraysia debut and third run for the stable he can return to the winners list. JAXON BEACH (5) may lead and has won his past two. HOT DEAL (9) rates next over the very intriguing IMPERIALS REASON (7).

 

EARLY SPEED: 2, 4, 5 (Leader?)

SELECTIONS: IDYLLIC (8), JAXON BEACH (5), HOT DEAL (9), IMPERIALS REASON (7)

RATINGS: 8 / 5 / 9 / 7 / 10 / 6 / 4 / 3 / 2

SUGGESTED BET: Quinella 5 & 8

 

Race 10:

 

OVERVIEW: DARK SANDS (7) has been down the track in his last three but won a better race than this when last driven by Ryan Sanderson and this is the easiest race he has contested since breaking his maiden. COTTON CANDY MAN (5) should acquit himself well whilst NOOSA BOY (6) is as good as any but is hard to catch to say the least. CHALKNCHEDDAR (4) rates next.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 2 (Leader?), 3, 4, 6

SELECTIONS: DARK SANDS (7), COTTON CANDY MAN (5), NOOSA BOY (6), CHALKNCHEDDAR (4)

RATINGS: 7 / 5 / 6 / 4 / 2 / 1 / 3 / 8 / 10 / 9

SUGGESTED BET: DARK SANDS (7) Each-Way

 

Race 11:

 

OVERVIEW: AUCKLAND LASS (8) goes alright on her day and is a good chance of winning this as she looks to be in decent form going on her last two runs. She just needs a bit of luck for a change. OUTA CONTROL (7) is one of the each-way value chances. UNETHICAL (4) should be prominent and STONEBRIDGE STAR (5) is of course another each-way chance.

 

 

EARLY SPEED: 1, 3, 4 (Leader?), 6

SELECTIONS: AUCKLAND LASS (8), OUTA CONTROL (7), UNETHICAL (4), STONEBRIDGE STAR (5)

RATINGS: 8 / 7 / 4 / 5 / 3 / 1 / 6 / 9 / 10

SUGGESTED BET: OUTA CONTROL (7) Each-Way