Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Hobart 27th December
We head to Hobart on Sunday evening for a competitive eight event card
Okanui Beach will get punters off to a good start but will be short odds.
The other good thing comes up in race five being Fun to Love who can go back to back.
Settobello looks a good e/w bet in race four as should find the lead.
We Salute You maps perfectly to give a great e/w sight in race seven.
Magic Joe can send punters home on a winning note in the last.
RACE 1: 18:03pm Tasmanian Horse Transport Pace 1609m
The first of the night is for the 2yo’s where we only see a field of four to go round. OKANUI BEACH (1) didn’t have much luck last week and will find this easier so from the pole will be winning. BOLT OF COBARGO (4) has been consistent and the small field suits so gets his chance to fill the exacta spot. MEL RUSTY KITA (2) should drop leaders back so gets his chance to be in the finish. SHEEZA SOHO (3) is on debut and the stable is on form so watch the market.
TOP PICK: Okanui Beach (1) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Mel Rusty Kita (2) is the danger along with Bolt of Cobargo (4).
ROUGHIE: Sheeza Soho (3) is obviously next best.
RATINGS: 1-2-4-3
SUGGESTED BET: Okanui Beach 8units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2-4 $20 flexi 2000% - First Four 1-2-4-3 $10 flexi 1000%
LIKELY LEADER: Okanui Beach should hold up.
RACE 2: 18:32pm More Confidence Consulting Pace 1609m
This is for the 3yo and older pacers and looks a competitive affair over the sprint trip. FREEASABYRD (4) continues to race well and should just behind them and look to get over the top of them late. MAYOR OF ELWOOD (3) was ok at first local run and does have early speed so will look to push forward and will be in the finish along with HOW SWEET (1) who draws ideally to get every chance to bounce back. CUSTOM HARLEY (6) is a handy 3yo resuming and if his close to his best he is capable of overcoming the wide draw. AURORA REASON (2) and THE IRON LADY (5) round out the field and can fill a minor placing.
TOP PICK: Freeasabyrd (4) just lean her way.
DANGERS: Mayor of Elwood (3) looks a danger along with How Sweet (1).
ROUGHIE: Aurora Reason (2) looks the best at odds.
RATINGS: 4-1 3 6-2 5
SUGGESTED BET: Freeasabyrd 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-1 3 6-1 3 6 $15 flexi 250%
LIKELY LEADER: Mayor of Elwood will look to work across How Sweet and Aurora Reason early.
RACE 3: 19:02pm Prydes Easifeed Pace 2090m
Here we have a 3yo and older and the consistent FRANCO TYSON (1) will be looking to get back into the winners list and from the pole will give them plenty to chase. JORJE STREET (7) comes down from the Riverina with handy form and does have speed so can make his own luck and can win. FREE TO PLAY (5) will fond this more to her liking and is capable of bouncing back. SVITOLINA LEIS (3) and IDEN LADY LINCOLN (6) are a couple that can fill a minor placing at odds.
TOP PICK: Franco Tyson (1) looks hard to beat.
DANGERS: Jorje Street (7) looks the danger along with Free To Play (5).
ROUGHIE: Iden Lady Lincoln (6) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 1-5 7-3 6-2 4
SUGGESTED BET: Franco Tyson 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-3 5 6 7-3 5 6 7 $24 flexi 200% - 1-5 7-3 5 6 7 $6 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Franco Tyson should be able to hold Jorje Street early.
RACE 4: 19:32pm Ladbrokes Own Spring Pace 2090m
This is for the 53-57 pacers and it’s a tough one. MAGOMEDOV (1) has been consistent of late and draws to get every chance from the pole. SETTEBELLO (2) will find this easier and can find the top and from there will take getting past. Stablemate YARECKON IM SWEET (7) could also launch from out wide as races best on speed so keep safe. ALEXIS ROCKET (3), KERALA STAR (4), IMPULZE (6) and KENYA (9) are a quartet who are more than capable of figuring if the breaks come their way in running.
TOP PICK: Settebello (2) looks the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Magomedov (1) is the danger along with Yareckon Im Sweet (7).
ROUGHIE: Alexis Rocket (3) sneaky chance at odds.
RATINGS: 2-1 3 6 7-4 5 8 9
SUGGESTED BET: Settebello 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2-1 3 6 7-field $28 flexi 100% - 2-field-1 3 6 7 $21 flexi 75%
LIKELY LEADER: Settebello will be looking for the lead.
RACE 5: 20:03pm Cavalor Equicare Pace 2090m
The first leg of the quadrella is for the 3yo and older. FUN TO LOVE (4) was very impressive winning first up in the State last week so from the draw will look to push forward and be on speed and be to be too classy but this is stronger than last week. MISS DUTTON (3) was good when resuming and will be fitter and draws well so looks the danger along with impressive last start winner MORE THAN THIS (8) who draws to get a soft trip. PEANUT SUTTER (2) has the draw to settle close and can run into a placing at odds along with SERIOUSLY SAM (1), SUE NIEN (9) and KEAYANG KEVIN (11) are also capable of running a drum.
TOP PICK: Fun to Love (4) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Miss Dutton (3) is a danger along with More Than This (8).
ROUGHIE: Peanut Sutter (2) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 4-3 8-1 2 9 11-10 12-7-5 6
SUGGESTED BET: Fun to Love 4units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-3 8-1 2 3 8 9 11 $25 flexi 250% - 4-1 2 3 8 9 11-3 8 $20 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Fun to Love will be looking to push forward and bully her way to the lead.
RACE 6: 20:36pm Fehlbergs Produce Sprintlane Pace 2090m
This is for the 45-52 pacers and it looks another tough race to access. WATCH IT HAPPEN (4) is racing well and does get a draw so as long as takes advantage of looks hard to beat. HURRICANE ROCK (8) got a well deserved win last week and if the breaks come his way from his tricky draw will take holding out. BET SHEZA LADY (3) had every chance last week but draws to figure again. REMEMBER ME NOW (10) and NO NUKES SKIPPER (11) are a couple from out back who are capable of getting into the race late. MIKISPUR (5), SHAUN TO THE MAX (6) and GRINNING AGAIN (9) are a trio to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Watch it Happen (4) looks the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Hurricane Rock (8) is a danger along with No Nukes Skipper (11)
ROUGHIE: Remember Me Now (10) looks the best at odds.
RATINGS: 4-3 8 10 11- 5 6 9-1 7 12 13
SUGGESTED BET: Watch it Happen 2units win- Hurricane Rock 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 3 4 5 8 10 11 $40 flexi 33.3% - 4-3 5 8 10 11-3 5 8 10 11 $10 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Morris Brown will look to hold her ground with Mikispur and Shaun to the Max also pushing forward.
RACE 7: 21:04pm Racing Connect Pace 2090m
This is for the 64-74 rated pacers and we see a good field. WE SALUTE YOU (8) is racing close to career best form and gets the perfect draw as will settle leaders back or three pegs so looks a great e/w play. VINCENZO (1) is a 3yo taking on the older horses but comes up the pole so gets his chance in what is his toughest test to date. LYNRYD SKYNRYD (9) was good when resuming and draws to follow through and settle handy so will be getting hard as will ROYAL APPOINTMENT (10) who draws to follow him everywhere. MISTA EAGLE (4), ALWAYSBEALADY (5) and STEPPING STONES (7) are a trio capable of taking this out if the breaks come their way.
TOP PICK: We Salute You (8) will take plenty of holding out.
DANGERS: Vincenzo (1) is a danger along with Lynryd Skynryd (9).
ROUGHIE: Stepping Stones (7) is the value play despite the draw.
RATINGS: 8-1 7 9 10-3 4 5-2 6 11
SUGGESTED BET: We Salute You and Vincenzo 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 7 8 9 10 $30 flexi 50% - 1 8-1 7 8 9 10-1 7 8 9 10 $12 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Vincenzo has the speed to hold up with Better Exclusive likely to push forward also.
RACE 8 21:40pm The Dynamo 15th November Pace 1609m
The last of the night is for the 58-63 pacers over the sprint trip. MAGIC JOE (9) was supported last week when got the job done and he looks to get the perfect set up to go back to back. MODERN POWER (7) draws wide but can run the gate so could chance his arm early as his best chance of winning is being upfront. ARDEN ROANOKE (2) was better last time and has early speed so could be first to the pegs and give some cheek. BELIEVE IN FOREVER (1), IDEN BLACK PRINCE (3), FLEETWOOD ROCK (5) and SWIMINTHERIVER (6) are a quartet to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Magic Joe (9) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Modern Power (7) looks a danger along with Arden Roanoke (2).
ROUGHIE: Fleetwood Rock (5) is the value play.
RATINGS: 9-2 3 5 7-1 4 6-8
SUGGESTED BET: Magic Joe 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 9-2 3 5 7-1 2 3 4 5 6 7 $30 flexi 125%
LIKELY LEADER: Arden Roanoke and Modern Power will be looking to settle upfront.
